Banga vs Siauliai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
59.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
6º
10º
6º
62
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Banga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
FKT
2 - 1
BAN
40%
23%
38%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
SUD
1 - 0
BAN
51%
27%
22%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 1
BAN
49%
27%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
BAN
0 - 3
HLI
25%
27%
48%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 1
KZA
17%
24%
60%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Siauliai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
FAS
3 - 0
DTE
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
FAS
0 - 0
ZAL
30%
26%
44%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
DAI
1 - 2
FAS
25%
26%
49%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
PAN
2 - 0
FAS
52%
25%
22%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
FAS
3 - 2
SUD
54%
25%
22%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |