FNL Round 38

Baltika vs Shinnik Yaroslavl analysis

Baltika Shinnik Yaroslavl
60 ELO 66
-9.8% Tilt -17.5%
1509º General ELO ranking 3610º
11º Country ELO ranking 37º
ELO win probability
32.4%
Baltika
27.6%
Draw
40%
Shinnik Yaroslavl

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
Baltika
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
40%
Win probability
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Baltika
+33%
-8%
Shinnik Yaroslavl

ELO progression

Baltika
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Baltika
Baltika
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 May. 2016
GAZ
FC Orenburg
2 - 0
Baltika
BAL
70%
21%
9%
61 78 17 0
10 May. 2016
BAL
Baltika
0 - 3
Tom Tomsk
TOM
19%
26%
55%
62 76 14 -1
06 May. 2016
TOS
Tosno
3 - 1
Baltika
BAL
55%
26%
19%
63 66 3 -1
02 May. 2016
BAL
Baltika
1 - 4
Arsenal Tula
ARS
18%
26%
56%
63 76 13 0
25 Apr. 2016
ZEN
Zenit II
3 - 1
Baltika
BAL
45%
27%
27%
64 57 7 -1

Matches

Shinnik Yaroslavl
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 May. 2016
YAR
Shinnik Yaroslavl
5 - 0
Sibir Novosibirsk
SIB
43%
27%
30%
64 62 2 0
10 May. 2016
VNN
Volga Novgorod
1 - 1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
YAR
42%
26%
32%
65 63 2 -1
06 May. 2016
YAR
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 - 0
Sokol Saratov
SOK
44%
27%
28%
64 63 1 +1
02 May. 2016
SKA
SKA-Khabarovsk
2 - 2
Shinnik Yaroslavl
YAR
38%
28%
34%
64 64 0 0
25 Apr. 2016
YAR
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 - 1
Luch Vladivostok
VLA
48%
27%
25%
64 62 2 0