Baltika Kaliningrad vs FK Rostov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
46.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
12º
16º
15º
43
4º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baltika Kaliningrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
LOK
3 - 2
BAL
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 0
ZEN
10%
22%
68%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
KRS
2 - 1
BAL
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 1
URA
31%
29%
39%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
DIN
2 - 0
BAL
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
FK Rostov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FCR
1 - 2
DIN
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
FCR
2 - 1
LOK
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 0
FCR
22%
26%
51%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SOC
4 - 0
FCR
39%
26%
36%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FCR
3 - 0
FCR
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |