Balma vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
YZE
1 - 1
BAL
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
BAL
1 - 1
LEM
33%
26%
41%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
MON
1 - 0
BAL
46%
26%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
BAL
1 - 1
LES
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
LES
1 - 1
BAL
48%
26%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
RED
0 - 0
TOF
45%
27%
29%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
PSG
2 - 0
RED
40%
27%
33%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
RED
0 - 0
FCL
19%
26%
55%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
RED
0 - 1
FON
35%
27%
38%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -2 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
RED
1 - 0
STA
39%
27%
35%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |