Balma vs Castanet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
35.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
AUB
2 - 0
BAL
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
BAL
2 - 1
AGD
55%
25%
20%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
SCR
3 - 0
BAL
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 1
BAL
56%
23%
21%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
BAL
0 - 3
BER
19%
26%
56%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -3 |
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 1
AJA
44%
22%
33%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
FUR
2 - 1
CAS
39%
23%
38%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
ROD
48%
23%
30%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SCT
0 - 1
CAS
26%
22%
53%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 2
GRA
36%
23%
41%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |