Ballymena United vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 3
GLE
32%
25%
43%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
CLI
1 - 2
BAL
73%
16%
11%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
LIN
2 - 1
BAL
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
BAL
2 - 3
CLI
19%
20%
62%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
POR
5 - 5
BAL
67%
19%
14%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 1
INS
59%
21%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
INS
0 - 2
COL
32%
26%
42%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2015 |
INS
1 - 2
DUN
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
GLE
2 - 1
INS
77%
14%
9%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
INS
5 - 1
LOU
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | +1 |