Ballymena United vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
55.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
GLE
3 - 0
BAL
41%
25%
35%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
LIN
1 - 0
BAL
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 0
DON
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
BAL
3 - 7
CLI
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
DER
2 - 6
BAL
41%
23%
36%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
CRU
0 - 1
LIN
46%
24%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
POR
1 - 3
CRU
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
COL
0 - 0
CRU
44%
24%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CRU
1 - 1
LIS
85%
11%
4%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 7
CRU
19%
21%
60%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |