Ballinamallard United vs Larne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
LIS
2 - 2
BAL
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
INS
0 - 2
BAL
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
BAN
2 - 3
BAL
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
BAL
3 - 1
LAR
52%
23%
26%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 1
DER
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
LAR
7 - 0
BAN
48%
23%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
LAR
2 - 0
BAL
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
INS
1 - 3
LAR
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
BAL
3 - 1
LAR
52%
23%
26%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 0
LAR
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |