Ballinamallard United vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
22.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 3
BAN
28%
25%
47%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 1
BAL
54%
23%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 1
BAL
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 0
KNO
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BAL
4 - 2
DER
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
INS
2 - 1
HAR
20%
24%
57%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 1
INS
74%
17%
10%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
INS
1 - 0
BAL
16%
20%
64%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
INS
1 - 3
NEY
28%
25%
48%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
INS
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |