Ballinamallard United vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
66.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
LIN
0 - 1
BAL
80%
14%
6%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
BAL
0 - 1
GLE
14%
20%
66%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
GLE
0 - 2
BAL
71%
19%
10%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
BAL
0 - 2
CLI
13%
21%
66%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 1
BAL
72%
17%
12%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
CRU
3 - 4
INS
86%
10%
4%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CRU
1 - 0
WAR
84%
11%
5%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
BAL
2 - 4
CRU
27%
24%
49%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CRU
5 - 0
CAR
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
COL
1 - 1
CRU
22%
24%
54%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |