Nebitçi vs Arkadag analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
24.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+122%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nebitçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
EFT
2 - 4
BFT
16%
20%
64%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BFT
6 - 1
AGA
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
AGA
0 - 2
BFT
38%
24%
38%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
BFT
0 - 1
ALT
25%
23%
53%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
BFT
2 - 0
MER
23%
25%
52%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +4 |
Matches
Arkadag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ARK
2 - 0
AGA
44%
24%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
AGA
0 - 1
ARK
40%
25%
36%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ARK
3 - 2
KAS
24%
23%
53%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
ARK
5 - 2
AHA
26%
23%
51%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +4 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
ALT
1 - 2
ARK
79%
13%
8%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | +1 |