Balk vs Winsum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
46.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
BCV
0 - 3
BAL
26%
24%
50%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
BAL
0 - 0
PKC
18%
21%
62%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
BAL
0 - 0
BUI
29%
25%
47%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
GOR
4 - 1
BAL
44%
22%
34%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
BAL
0 - 3
HZV
23%
23%
54%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Winsum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
WIN
1 - 0
BUI
50%
21%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
BLA
0 - 2
WIN
39%
23%
38%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
DRA
1 - 0
WIN
45%
22%
33%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
WIN
3 - 1
BCV
81%
13%
7%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
WIN
4 - 2
OLD
42%
22%
36%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |