Balk vs VEV '67 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
44.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ORA
2 - 1
BAL
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 1
LTC
49%
23%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
PKC
5 - 0
BAL
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
NOO
1 - 4
BAL
52%
21%
26%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 0
CVV
24%
22%
54%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
VEV '67
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
VEV
1 - 2
PKC
38%
22%
40%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
ORA
1 - 1
VEV
64%
18%
17%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
NOO
1 - 6
VEV
34%
23%
43%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
VEV
0 - 1
URK
28%
22%
50%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -2 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
LTC
0 - 0
VEV
28%
23%
49%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |