Balerna vs Goldau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
66.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balerna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
ESC
1 - 0
BAL
77%
15%
8%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
LSS
2 - 1
BAL
85%
11%
5%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 2
FCM
16%
20%
64%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
AAR
5 - 1
BAL
83%
12%
5%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 3
SAR
18%
21%
60%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Goldau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
GOL
0 - 4
FCM
46%
24%
30%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
AAR
2 - 3
GOL
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
GOL
2 - 1
SAR
48%
23%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LUZ
1 - 5
GOL
34%
24%
43%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
GOL
2 - 0
HER
60%
21%
19%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |