Segunda Categoría - Ecuador Knock-outs 1/32
Baldor Bermeo Cabrera vs Leones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baldor Bermeo Cabrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
BBC
1 - 2
CUN
43%
24%
33%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
CUN
4 - 0
BBC
46%
24%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BBC
0 - 0
QUI
35%
25%
40%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
QUI
2 - 2
BBC
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
LFC
1 - 1
BBC
38%
24%
38%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
LFC
1 - 1
BBC
38%
24%
38%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BBC
2 - 1
LFC
57%
22%
22%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LFC
5 - 0
CAE
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 1
LFC
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
CDE
0 - 3
LFC
26%
21%
53%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +2 |