Balcatta vs ECU Joondalup analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
30.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balcatta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
PER
4 - 1
BAL
79%
14%
7%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 2
SUB
88%
9%
4%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
ARM
0 - 1
BAL
22%
22%
56%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
BAL
0 - 3
SOR
44%
24%
33%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
ING
2 - 1
BAL
46%
22%
32%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
ECU Joondalup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
ECU
2 - 2
FLO
26%
21%
53%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
ECU
3 - 2
STI
32%
23%
46%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
PER
1 - 0
ECU
79%
14%
7%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
SUB
0 - 3
ECU
15%
18%
67%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
ARM
0 - 1
ECU
30%
23%
47%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |