Balasar vs Nogueirense FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
14.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balasar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ALP
1 - 2
BAL
43%
24%
33%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
BAL
0 - 0
DSA
50%
22%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CUS
3 - 1
BAL
25%
23%
52%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 1
FOZ
74%
16%
11%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
BAL
2 - 1
CSA
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nogueirense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
NOG
0 - 1
GMA
25%
23%
53%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ALF
2 - 0
NOG
41%
23%
36%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
NOG
1 - 2
BAR
25%
23%
53%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
LAV
1 - 0
NOG
49%
22%
29%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
BAI
2 - 1
NOG
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |