Bala Town vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
LLA
1 - 5
BAL
52%
24%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
NEW
0 - 1
BAL
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BAL
4 - 0
LID
70%
18%
13%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
CON
0 - 5
BAL
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
BAL
4 - 0
LLA
42%
25%
34%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
LID
0 - 0
ABE
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ABE
0 - 0
NEW
44%
24%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
ABE
1 - 1
CON
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ABE
2 - 1
LLA
31%
25%
44%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
LLA
4 - 3
ABE
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |