Bala Azul vs Caravaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
50.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
MAZ
3 - 1
BAL
47%
24%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
UDL
0 - 1
BAL
24%
24%
52%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 0
CAP
36%
25%
38%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
YEC
2 - 0
BAL
85%
10%
5%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 0
BUL
37%
25%
38%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Caravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAP
48%
25%
27%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
YEC
1 - 0
CAR
78%
15%
8%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
BUL
51%
24%
25%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 1
CAR
59%
21%
21%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
LUA
42%
26%
32%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |