Bala Azul vs Caravaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
64.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CAL
7 - 1
BAL
55%
23%
23%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
BAL
0 - 1
LOR
44%
24%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 3
BAL
41%
24%
35%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
BAL
0 - 2
JUM
63%
20%
18%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ALC
2 - 0
BAL
19%
20%
61%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Caravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 0
JUM
79%
14%
8%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ALC
3 - 4
CAR
18%
20%
62%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 0
EFA
39%
24%
37%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
UDL
1 - 3
CAR
20%
21%
60%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 2
SPO
77%
15%
9%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |