Bahia U20 vs São Paulo U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
42.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 0
BAH
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
BAH
3 - 2
GOI
26%
22%
52%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
GOI
2 - 3
BAH
59%
21%
20%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
BAH
2 - 0
RET
75%
15%
10%
|
39 | 12 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
RET
0 - 3
BAH
15%
18%
68%
|
38 | 13 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 0
BAH
44%
24%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 0
TUN
78%
14%
9%
|
40 | 13 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
TUN
1 - 1
SAO
10%
14%
76%
|
41 | 11 | 30 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
SAO
3 - 1
CRI
78%
13%
9%
|
41 | 13 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
CRI
0 - 4
SAO
11%
14%
75%
|
41 | 14 | 27 | 0 |