Bagtyýarlyk Lebap vs Merw analysis


56	ELO	54
-4.8%	Tilt	4.6%
27582º	General ELO ranking	7675º
16º	Country ELO ranking	9º
ELO win probability

47.8%

Bagtyýarlyk Lebap

25.6%

Draw

26.6%

Merw

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

47.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%

25.6%

Draw

0-0

7.5%

1-1

12.2%

2-2

5%

3-3

0.9%

4-4

0.1%

0

25.6%

26.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bagtyýarlyk Lebap

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.
02 Sep. 2011	BAG 2 - 1 GAA 46% 26% 28%	55	55
27 Aug. 2011	ALT 1 - 2 BAG 49% 25% 27%	55	55
23 Aug. 2011	BAG 4 - 1 BAL 45% 26% 29%	55	55
18 Aug. 2011	DAO 0 - 3 BAG 46% 25% 29%	55	55
10 Aug. 2011	BAG 3 - 1 AHA 47% 26% 27%	55	55

Matches

Merw

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.
02 Sep. 2011	MER 2 - 0 ALT 50% 25% 25%	55	55
27 Aug. 2011	BAL 2 - 1 MER 50% 25% 25%	55	55
23 Aug. 2011	MER 1 - 1 DAO 48% 24% 28%	55	55
18 Aug. 2011	AHA 1 - 3 MER 53% 24% 23%	55	55
10 Aug. 2011	MER 2 - 0 AGA 49% 24% 27%	55	55