Bagsværd vs Frem 1886 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
77.7%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
10%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.7%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.3%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bagsværd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
BBK
0 - 7
NAE
6%
12%
83%
|
11 | 56 | 45 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
NBB
1 - 3
BBK
76%
14%
10%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Frem 1886
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 0
SKI
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FRE
3 - 0
SUN
72%
16%
12%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FRE
3 - 0
AVA
77%
15%
8%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
FRE
5 - 3
NAS
54%
23%
24%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
AVA
2 - 4
FRE
20%
25%
55%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |