Bagnolese vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
60.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bagnolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
SPA
1 - 1
BAG
77%
16%
7%
|
27 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
BAG
2 - 1
ROS
46%
25%
30%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 0
BAG
52%
24%
23%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
BAG
0 - 4
FID
42%
25%
33%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 0
BAG
38%
26%
36%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ASL
1 - 1
CAS
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
MAS
2 - 0
ASL
12%
22%
66%
|
54 | 24 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
ASL
1 - 0
SPA
43%
27%
30%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ASL
4 - 0
ROS
79%
15%
6%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 2
ASL
13%
23%
65%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |