Bagnolese vs Lentigione analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
55.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bagnolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ASD
2 - 1
BAG
39%
25%
36%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
BAG
1 - 1
GHI
38%
25%
37%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SER
2 - 0
BAG
48%
24%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
BAG
2 - 2
RIM
28%
25%
48%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
COR
4 - 1
BAG
45%
25%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Lentigione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
LEN
1 - 0
ACP
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
RAV
3 - 1
LEN
38%
28%
35%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
LEN
2 - 0
ASD
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
LEN
2 - 1
GHI
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
LEN
1 - 2
DER
60%
24%
16%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |