Baghdad FC vs Al Najaf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
14%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
46.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baghdad FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
ALN
0 - 1
BAG
63%
23%
14%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
BAG
1 - 2
ALS
19%
27%
54%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
HUD
2 - 1
BAG
64%
23%
14%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
BAG
0 - 2
NSC
25%
31%
44%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
NAF
0 - 1
BAG
62%
23%
16%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Al Najaf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
ALN
0 - 0
NAB
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
ALM
2 - 1
ALN
29%
29%
42%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ALN
0 - 0
ALZ
47%
27%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
DUH
1 - 0
ALN
47%
28%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
ALN
0 - 2
KAR
53%
26%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |