Combined Counties League Wessex Football League Round 8

Baffins Milton Rovers vs Fareham Town analysis

Baffins Milton Rovers Fareham Town
22 ELO 21
-1.3% Tilt -5.5%
10829º General ELO ranking 10798º
579º Country ELO ranking 575º
ELO win probability
55.5%
Baffins Milton Rovers
19.8%
Draw
24.7%
Fareham Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
Baffins Milton Rovers
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
24.7%
Win probability
Fareham Town
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Baffins Milton Rovers
-4%
+49%
Fareham Town

ELO progression

Baffins Milton Rovers
Fareham Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Baffins Milton Rovers
Baffins Milton Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2023
BMR
Baffins Milton Rovers
3 - 1
Brockenhurst
BRO
78%
13%
9%
22 15 7 0
28 Feb. 2023
BMR
Baffins Milton Rovers
2 - 0
Hythe & Dibden
HYD
60%
19%
21%
22 19 3 0
25 Feb. 2023
STO
Stoneham
1 - 1
Baffins Milton Rovers
BMR
80%
13%
8%
22 36 14 0
18 Feb. 2023
BMR
Baffins Milton Rovers
2 - 0
Laverstock Ford
LAV
50%
21%
29%
23 23 0 -1
11 Feb. 2023
BMR
Baffins Milton Rovers
1 - 0
Portland United
POR
73%
15%
12%
23 18 5 0

Matches

Fareham Town
Fareham Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2023
FAR
Fareham Town
2 - 2
AFC Portchester
AFC
13%
16%
71%
19 35 16 0
28 Feb. 2023
BOU
Bournemouth FC
2 - 1
Fareham Town
FAR
19%
18%
63%
20 14 6 -1
25 Feb. 2023
BEM
Bemerton Heath
4 - 0
Fareham Town
FAR
69%
17%
15%
22 29 7 -2
18 Feb. 2023
FAR
Fareham Town
4 - 0
Christchurch
CHR
73%
14%
12%
22 18 4 0
11 Feb. 2023
HYD
Hythe & Dibden
1 - 2
Fareham Town
FAR
49%
21%
31%
22 23 1 0