Baeza CF vs Real Jaén B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
33.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+165%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
PUE
1 - 1
BAE
20%
23%
58%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
CDT
4 - 1
BAE
28%
24%
48%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
BAE
1 - 0
MAN
42%
28%
30%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
MIJ
1 - 2
BAE
49%
25%
26%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
NER
2 - 1
BAE
49%
25%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
RJA
1 - 1
CAR
64%
21%
15%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
EST
2 - 0
RJA
66%
20%
14%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
RJA
7 - 0
UDT
55%
24%
21%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
PUE
0 - 3
RJA
19%
23%
58%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
RJA
2 - 0
CDT
63%
20%
17%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |