Baeza CF vs Atlético Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
50.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+138%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 1
BAE
49%
21%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
BAE
1 - 2
CDR
59%
19%
22%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 1
BAE
75%
15%
10%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CAZ
2 - 0
BAE
51%
21%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
BAE
0 - 0
CDH
61%
20%
19%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 1
BEG
52%
22%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 2
CDA
69%
17%
15%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 2
ATL
27%
22%
51%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 0
ATL
44%
24%
33%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ATL
4 - 1
CDT
53%
20%
27%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |