Bærum II vs Modum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
47.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bærum II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2015 |
SKA
3 - 3
BAE
71%
15%
14%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2015 |
BAE
1 - 8
FKT
13%
16%
71%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2015 |
BAE
1 - 1
VIF
45%
21%
34%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2015 |
ETO
7 - 0
BAE
76%
13%
11%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2015 |
BAE
4 - 3
STR
25%
21%
54%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Modum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2015 |
MOD
3 - 0
ETO
46%
21%
33%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2015 |
STR
5 - 0
MOD
48%
22%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
MOD
2 - 2
LAR
52%
20%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2015 |
FBK
0 - 5
MOD
10%
17%
73%
|
29 | 12 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
MOD
2 - 1
BIR
61%
19%
21%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |