Baden vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
38.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1998 |
BAD
1 - 1
YVE
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
SCH
0 - 3
BAD
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +2 |
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
BAD
3 - 1
WIL
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 1998 |
STA
4 - 1
BAD
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 1998 |
BAD
1 - 3
SOL
53%
24%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1998 |
STA
0 - 2
THU
29%
26%
46%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
THU
0 - 4
LOC
63%
21%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
DEL
1 - 0
THU
33%
27%
41%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1998 |
THU
4 - 0
CHI
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 1998 |
THU
1 - 2
YVE
62%
22%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |