Baden vs St. Gallen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
KRI
4 - 3
BAD
23%
24%
53%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
YFJ
0 - 2
BAD
10%
17%
73%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BAD
1 - 1
BIE
82%
12%
6%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
BUL
0 - 2
BAD
28%
25%
48%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BAD
4 - 1
BRE
42%
24%
34%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
St. Gallen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
STG
2 - 2
BIE
67%
18%
16%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
BUL
0 - 2
STG
46%
23%
31%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
STG
2 - 5
BRE
35%
24%
41%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
ETO
3 - 0
STG
53%
23%
25%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
STG
4 - 1
BAV
39%
23%
38%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +2 |