Baden vs Schotz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
15.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
MUN
2 - 0
BAD
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
BAD
3 - 0
WAN
56%
21%
23%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
BAD
0 - 2
UZU
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
BAD
0 - 1
BAV
48%
23%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
BAV
0 - 0
BAD
52%
22%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Schotz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
SCH
1 - 3
LUZ
30%
22%
49%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
ZUG
2 - 1
SCH
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
SCH
3 - 2
MUN
23%
24%
54%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +3 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
WAN
2 - 0
SCH
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
SCH
3 - 4
THU
37%
23%
41%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |