Baden vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
58.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
5º
10º
10º
49
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 2
BAD
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
WIL
3 - 1
BAD
64%
22%
15%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
BAD
1 - 5
THU
11%
19%
70%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FCV
6 - 0
BAD
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
BAD
0 - 1
FCA
14%
19%
67%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
NEX
4 - 0
STA
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
NEX
1 - 1
FCV
31%
25%
45%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 2
NEX
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
NEX
2 - 2
WIL
40%
25%
35%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 1
NEX
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |