Baden vs Meyrin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
YVE
1 - 0
BAD
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
BAD
0 - 2
FCL
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
BAD
0 - 1
LUG
16%
23%
61%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
CON
1 - 1
BAD
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
BAD
2 - 3
SIO
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Meyrin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
MEY
2 - 0
BAU
59%
21%
20%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
BEL
5 - 1
MEY
62%
21%
18%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
MEY
1 - 0
LAC
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
WIN
2 - 2
MEY
58%
22%
21%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
MEY
2 - 0
YFJ
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +2 |