Baden vs FC Grenchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SCH
0 - 5
BAD
55%
23%
23%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 2
BAD
58%
23%
20%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
DOR
0 - 5
BAD
52%
22%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
OLD
2 - 0
BAD
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
WAN
1 - 3
BAD
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
FC Grenchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
FCG
1 - 5
GRA
30%
24%
47%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
SOL
2 - 1
FCG
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
FCG
2 - 2
ZOF
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SEN
5 - 0
FCG
60%
21%
18%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
FCG
0 - 1
BAS
17%
20%
63%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | -1 |