Baden vs Chiasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
44.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
FCL
3 - 2
BAD
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2005 |
LUG
3 - 0
BAD
73%
18%
9%
|
43 | 71 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
BAD
0 - 0
CON
27%
26%
48%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
SIO
4 - 0
BAD
66%
21%
14%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
WOH
3 - 2
BAD
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
CHI
0 - 1
WIN
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
CHI
1 - 1
LAC
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2005 |
BUL
1 - 3
CHI
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
CHI
2 - 0
YFJ
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
CHI
2 - 0
MEY
64%
21%
14%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |