Baden vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
41.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1998 |
BAD
1 - 2
LUG
37%
28%
36%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1998 |
ETO
0 - 0
BAD
54%
23%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
BAD
0 - 1
SOL
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1998 |
KRI
1 - 1
BAD
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1998 |
BAD
2 - 1
YOB
34%
27%
40%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1998 |
BAS
3 - 1
ETO
80%
13%
7%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1998 |
LUG
0 - 0
BAS
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1998 |
BAS
3 - 6
NEX
33%
25%
42%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1998 |
YOB
2 - 2
BAS
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1998 |
BAS
4 - 2
KRI
63%
20%
17%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |