Bad Goisern vs Grieskirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.9%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
75.1%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Goisern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2015 |
GRU
3 - 0
BAD
82%
12%
6%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
EFE
2 - 2
BAD
70%
17%
12%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2015 |
BAD
1 - 1
WEL
13%
19%
68%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
GMU
4 - 0
BAD
86%
10%
5%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
BAD
2 - 1
DON
10%
16%
75%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Grieskirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 3
GRI
38%
24%
37%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
GRI
1 - 1
SIE
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
GRI
5 - 0
EFE
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
WEL
2 - 1
GRI
37%
25%
38%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
GRI
1 - 0
GMU
66%
19%
16%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |