Bad Boys Fairview vs Manzini Sea Birds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Boys Fairview
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
BBF
2 - 1
MAL
46%
24%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
BBF
0 - 1
MAN
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2016 |
ROY
1 - 0
BBF
58%
22%
20%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
BBF
0 - 2
RLI
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2015 |
BBF
1 - 6
GRE
51%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Manzini Sea Birds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 4
MBA
43%
23%
34%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
HIG
2 - 0
MAN
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 2
MAN
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
MAL
0 - 1
MAN
49%
23%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2015 |
MAN
2 - 0
MAN
53%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |