Bacoli Sibilla vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
57.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bacoli Sibilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
VIR
3 - 3
BAC
74%
16%
10%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
BAC
1 - 1
TUR
18%
22%
61%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
OSP
2 - 1
BAC
49%
24%
27%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
BAC
0 - 1
FRA
32%
27%
41%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
TUR
2 - 0
BAC
71%
18%
11%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
CAS
1 - 0
MAT
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
ACC
1 - 3
CAS
28%
27%
46%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
CAS
1 - 2
ASF
77%
15%
8%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
CAS
1 - 2
FOR
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
FRA
1 - 0
CAS
26%
26%
48%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |