1. Division Round 14

Bærum vs Ørn Horten analysis

Bærum Ørn Horten
51 ELO 49
9.2% Tilt 13.9%
6120º General ELO ranking 5652º
85º Country ELO ranking 76º
ELO win probability
55.5%
Bærum
21.7%
Draw
22.8%
Ørn Horten

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
Bærum
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22.8%
Win probability
Ørn Horten
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bærum
+18%
-30%
Ørn Horten

ELO progression

Bærum
Ørn Horten
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bærum
Bærum
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jun. 2003
HOD
Hødd
2 - 0
Bærum
BAR
59%
21%
20%
52 58 6 0
18 Jun. 2003
BAR
Bærum
2 - 0
Raufoss IL
RAU
14%
20%
66%
50 67 17 +2
15 Jun. 2003
OSO
Oslo Øst
1 - 1
Bærum
BAR
57%
21%
22%
50 54 4 0
09 Jun. 2003
BAR
Bærum
1 - 2
Stromsgodset IF
STR
16%
19%
66%
50 63 13 0
01 Jun. 2003
SDF
Sandefjord
4 - 1
Bærum
BAR
76%
15%
9%
51 64 13 -1

Matches

Ørn Horten
Ørn Horten
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jun. 2003
ODD
Odd
1 - 2
Ørn Horten
ORN
89%
9%
3%
48 78 30 0
21 Jun. 2003
ORN
Ørn Horten
2 - 0
Alta IF
ALT
66%
19%
16%
48 41 7 0
18 Jun. 2003
HAU
Haugesund
2 - 1
Ørn Horten
ORN
73%
16%
11%
48 63 15 0
15 Jun. 2003
ORN
Ørn Horten
0 - 2
Skeid
SKE
37%
25%
38%
49 56 7 -1
09 Jun. 2003
MOS
Moss
1 - 1
Ørn Horten
ORN
81%
13%
6%
48 65 17 +1