Herrera FC vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
44.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
4º
2º
30
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
30 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
27 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 20 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
CHI
2 - 0
AZU
21%
26%
53%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
SMI
1 - 1
AZU
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
AZU
3 - 2
COS
41%
28%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
AMA
0 - 2
AZU
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
AZU
2 - 1
AFC
37%
30%
34%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
UME
1 - 3
IND
26%
27%
47%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
IND
1 - 2
AMA
54%
25%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
IND
0 - 0
TAU
50%
27%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 1
IND
29%
28%
43%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
SMI
1 - 2
IND
44%
27%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |