Herrera FC vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
43.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
4º
2º
30
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
30 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
27 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 20 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
CHI
2 - 0
AZU
20%
26%
54%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
SMI
1 - 1
AZU
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
AZU
3 - 2
COS
42%
28%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
AMA
0 - 2
AZU
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
AZU
2 - 1
AFC
38%
29%
33%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
UME
1 - 3
IND
23%
27%
50%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
IND
1 - 2
AMA
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
IND
0 - 0
TAU
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 1
IND
27%
28%
45%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
SMI
1 - 2
IND
43%
27%
31%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |