Herrera FC vs Centenario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2017 |
AZU
1 - 2
CEN
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CEN
3 - 1
AZU
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
AZU
2 - 1
MSM
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SUN
1 - 0
AZU
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
AZU
1 - 0
COS
49%
26%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2017 |
COS
1 - 0
CEN
50%
26%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CEN
2 - 2
COS
43%
29%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2017 |
AZU
1 - 2
CEN
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CEN
3 - 1
AZU
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
COL
0 - 0
CEN
24%
26%
51%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |