Herrera FC vs Atl. Chiriquí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
26.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
4º
2º
12
9º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
27 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 20 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
12 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
AZU
0 - 2
SFF
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CHO
2 - 0
AZU
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
IND
2 - 3
AZU
54%
25%
22%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
AZU
1 - 1
SUN
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
AZU
0 - 0
CHI
44%
27%
30%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Chiriquí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SUN
4 - 1
CHI
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 2
IND
23%
27%
50%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 4
SFF
36%
28%
35%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
CHO
0 - 0
CHI
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
AZU
0 - 0
CHI
44%
27%
30%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |