AZAL PFC Baku vs Simurq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
26.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZAL PFC Baku
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
KHA
1 - 0
AZA
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
FKB
0 - 2
AZA
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
SHA
2 - 0
AZA
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
AZA
1 - 1
SUM
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
QAR
2 - 1
AZA
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Simurq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2015 |
SIM
4 - 0
FKB
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
SIM
2 - 3
SHA
40%
30%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
SUM
1 - 0
SIM
33%
30%
37%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2015 |
SIM
0 - 0
QAR
37%
28%
36%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
SIM
0 - 2
QAR
40%
29%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |