AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
16.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2017 |
GAE
1 - 3
AZA
15%
22%
63%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
AUG
1 - 1
AZA
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
TWE
1 - 2
AZA
33%
25%
42%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
AZA
2 - 0
ASW
86%
11%
4%
|
79 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
AZA
0 - 4
FEY
40%
24%
36%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
SPA
1 - 2
UTR
34%
26%
41%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
SPA
0 - 1
BOR
74%
16%
10%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2017 |
NEC
1 - 3
SPA
39%
24%
37%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
ADO
1 - 0
SPA
35%
27%
39%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2016 |
HER
0 - 3
SPA
42%
24%
34%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |