Europa League . 1/16
Global 2-1
AZ Alkmaar vs Slovan Liberec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
AJA
4 - 0
AZA
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
SLI
0 - 1
AZA
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
AZA
1 - 1
UTR
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
GAE
2 - 1
AZA
24%
24%
53%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
VIT
0 - 2
AZA
44%
25%
32%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Slovan Liberec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SLI
2 - 2
MBO
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
SLI
0 - 1
AZA
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2014 |
ORE
2 - 0
SLI
28%
25%
48%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
FCK
4 - 0
SLI
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
SLI
2 - 1
MID
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |