AZ Alkmaar vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
AZA
3 - 0
TWE
49%
26%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
SCH
3 - 3
AZA
49%
22%
28%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
RJC
0 - 2
AZA
28%
24%
48%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
AZA
3 - 0
VOL
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
GRA
0 - 2
AZA
21%
22%
57%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
NEC
1 - 0
PSV
29%
28%
43%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2008 |
MAR
3 - 0
PSV
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
PSV
2 - 0
WIL
77%
16%
8%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
ADO
0 - 2
PSV
16%
25%
60%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
PSV
2 - 3
RJC
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | -1 |