AZ Alkmaar vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1982 |
NAC
0 - 1
AZA
17%
22%
62%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
AZA
2 - 2
SPA
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
ADO
1 - 4
AZA
15%
22%
64%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1981 |
AZA
1 - 0
AJA
52%
22%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
GRA
0 - 3
AZA
13%
20%
67%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1982 |
PSV
3 - 1
RJC
77%
15%
9%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
UTR
2 - 1
PSV
30%
25%
44%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
PSV
2 - 2
MVV
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1981 |
PSV
4 - 1
NAC
80%
14%
7%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
SPA
0 - 2
PSV
31%
25%
45%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |